LIVE MARKET DATA · Kalshi · 307 markets
Decision intelligence

Signals

Understand exactly why a market deserves attention—movement, analytical disagreement, crowd shifts, and source-driven updates.

BIG MOVE

Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2030 be above 6.0%?

Market
55%
LikelyIQ
Pending
IQ Gap
Pending
Why this triggered

0% → 55% · +55 points versus the prior provider price

Updated 1m ago

+55 vs priorAnalysis pending
BIG MOVE

Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2030 be above 3.0%?

Market
91%
LikelyIQ
Pending
IQ Gap
Pending
Why this triggered

0% → 91% · +91 points versus the prior provider price

Updated 1m ago

+91 vs priorAnalysis pending
BIG MOVE

Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2030 be above 4.0%?

Market
77%
LikelyIQ
Pending
IQ Gap
Pending
Why this triggered

0% → 77% · +77 points versus the prior provider price

Updated 1m ago

+77 vs priorAnalysis pending
BIG MOVE

Mike Norvell out before Jan 1, 2027

Market
66%
LikelyIQ
Pending
IQ Gap
Pending
Why this triggered

31% → 66% · +35 points versus the prior provider price

Updated 1m ago

+35 vs priorAnalysis pending
BIG MOVE

Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2029 be above 5.0%?

Market
67%
LikelyIQ
Pending
IQ Gap
Pending
Why this triggered

0% → 67% · +67 points versus the prior provider price

Updated 1m ago

+67 vs priorAnalysis pending
BIG MOVE

Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2029 be above 4.5%?

Market
73%
LikelyIQ
Pending
IQ Gap
Pending
Why this triggered

0% → 73% · +73 points versus the prior provider price

Updated 1m ago

+73 vs priorAnalysis pending
BIG MOVE

Will Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer be resolved before 2028?

Market
45.5%
LikelyIQ
Pending
IQ Gap
Pending
Why this triggered

0% → 45.5% · +45.5 points versus the prior provider price

Updated 1m ago

+45.5 vs priorAnalysis pending
BIG MOVE

Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2029 be above 8.0%?

Market
30%
LikelyIQ
Pending
IQ Gap
Pending
Why this triggered

0% → 30% · +30 points versus the prior provider price

Updated 1m ago

+30 vs priorAnalysis pending