LIVE MARKET DATA · Kalshi · 1,329 markets
Forecasting intelligence

Discover what matters now

See what the market thinks, what LikelyIQ thinks, how far they disagree, and why probabilities are moving.

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Top signal

Philadelphia wins

Market
41.5%
−11.5 vs prior
Community
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Market Movement: Kalshi's latest observed probability moved 11.5 points lower from its prior recorded price; 24-hour volume is 430,125.

Trending now

The most active and attention-worthy markets.

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New York wins

Market
59.5%
+11.5 vs prior
Community
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Market Movement: Kalshi's latest observed probability moved 11.5 points higher from its prior recorded price; 24-hour volume is 319,260.

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Dallas wins

Market
32.5%
−6.5 vs prior
Community
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Market Movement: Kalshi's latest observed probability moved 6.5 points lower from its prior recorded price; 24-hour volume is 146,201.

Biggest IQ Gaps

Where LikelyIQ’s estimate differs most from the market—not a guaranteed edge.

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Las Vegas wins

Market
17%
−2 vs prior
Community
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Market Movement: Kalshi's latest observed probability moved 2 points lower from its prior recorded price; 24-hour volume is 5,666.

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Philadelphia wins

Market
52.5%
−8.5 vs prior
Community
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Market Movement: Kalshi's latest observed probability moved 8.5 points lower from its prior recorded price; 24-hour volume is 4,611.

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Portland wins

Market
68%
−9 vs prior
Community
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Market Movement: Kalshi's latest observed probability moved 9 points lower from its prior recorded price; 24-hour volume is 1,906.

Biggest movers

The sharpest probability changes today.

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Full Game: Over 142.5 points scored

Market
49.5%
+49.5 vs prior
Community
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Market Movement: Kalshi's latest observed probability moved 49.5 points higher from its prior recorded price; 24-hour volume is 1,765.

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Atlanta wins the game by over 1.5 points

Market
46.5%
+46.5 vs prior
Community
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Market Movement: Kalshi's latest observed probability moved 46.5 points higher from its prior recorded price; 24-hour volume is 2,117.

Sports

Games, teams, and season outcomes.

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Chicago wins

Market
12.5%
−2.5 vs prior
Community
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Market Movement: Kalshi's latest observed probability moved 2.5 points lower from its prior recorded price; 24-hour volume is 386,005.

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Washington wins

Market
49.5%
−2.5 vs prior
Community
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Market Movement: Kalshi's latest observed probability moved 2.5 points lower from its prior recorded price; 24-hour volume is 658,211.

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Los Angeles L wins

Market
57.5%
+2.5 vs prior
Community
No forecasts yet
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Market Movement: Kalshi's latest observed probability moved 2.5 points higher from its prior recorded price; 24-hour volume is 145,369.

Politics

Elections, policy, and public outcomes.

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