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Will Zhang Guoqing become the next leader of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) before Jan 1, 2045?

If Zhang Guoqing is announced as the first new non-interim leader of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) before Jan 1, 2045, then the market resolves to Yes.

Market
1.05%
−1.15 vs prior
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Awaiting Signal
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Live market data is available. No verified LikelyIQ Signal is currently published for this market.

Synchronized 3m ago489 total volume0 24h volume0 community calls

Probability history

Market

Market Movement

Factual provider price and activity changes; no causal claim is implied.

Provider observation

Kalshi's latest observed probability moved 1.15 points lower from its prior recorded price; 24-hour volume is 0.

Source updated 8d ago

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