Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050?
If the annual global mean surface temperature anomaly has reached or exceeded +2.0°C above pre-industrial levels (1850-1900 average) in any calendar year before Jan 1, 2050, then the market resolves to Yes.
Live market data is available. No verified LikelyIQ Signal is currently published for this market.
Probability history
Market Movement
Factual provider price and activity changes; no causal claim is implied.
Kalshi's latest observed probability moved 1.5 points lower from its prior recorded price; 24-hour volume is 0.
Source updated 204d ago
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