Will it be confirmed that 2027 was the calendar year in which the official polling day for the next UK general election occurred?
If, after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2030, the claim that 2027 was the calendar year in which the official polling day for the next UK general election occurred has been reported as confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency, then the market resolves to Yes.
Live market data is available. No verified LikelyIQ Signal is currently published for this market.
Probability history
Market Movement
Factual provider price and activity changes; no causal claim is implied.
Kalshi's latest observed probability moved 5 points lower from its prior recorded price; 24-hour volume is 0.
Source updated 60d ago
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Live market data is available. No verified LikelyIQ Signal is currently published for this market.
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