Will Labour majority form the next government in the United Kingdom?
If the Labour Party, with the Labour Party holding a majority of seats in the House of Commons exclusively make up the next elected ruling government of the United Kingdom before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
Live market data is available. No verified LikelyIQ Signal is currently published for this market.
Probability history
Market Movement
Factual provider price and activity changes; no causal claim is implied.
Kalshi's latest observed probability moved 5.5 points higher from its prior recorded price; 24-hour volume is 0.
Source updated 162d ago
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