Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2030 be above 6.0%?
If the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2030 is above 6.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Live market data is available. An independent LikelyIQ estimate will appear only after the analysis pipeline publishes one.
Probability history
Why it’s moving
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Kalshi's latest observed probability moved 55 points higher from its prior recorded price; 24-hour volume is 0.
Source updated 6d ago
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