LIVE MARKET DATA · Kalshi · 312 markets
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Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2029 be above 7.0%?

If the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2029 is above 7.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.

Market
42%
+42 vs prior
LikelyIQ
Pending
Community
50%
LikelyIQ analysis pending

Live market data is available. An independent LikelyIQ estimate will appear only after the analysis pipeline publishes one.

Synchronized 1m ago0 total volume0 24h volume0 community calls

Probability history

MarketCommunity

Why it’s moving

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Provider observation

Kalshi's latest observed probability moved 42 points higher from its prior recorded price; 24-hour volume is 0.

Source updated 6d ago

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LikelyIQ Signal

Independent model output has not been reviewed and published for this live market.

LikelyIQ analysis pending

Live market data is available. An independent LikelyIQ estimate will appear only after the analysis pipeline publishes one.

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