Will the U.S. goods and services deficit for 2032 be above $1.2 trillion?
If the U.S. goods and services deficit for calendar year 2032 is strictly above $1.2 trillion dollars, then the market resolves to Yes.
LikelyIQ automatically analyzes eligible markets. A Signal appears after evidence and verification requirements are met.
Probability history
Market Movement
Factual provider price and activity changes; no causal claim is implied.
Kalshi's latest observed probability moved 50 points higher from its prior recorded price; 24-hour volume is 0.
Source updated 65d ago
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