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Will the Republican party win the Presidency in 2032?

If a representative of the Republican party is inaugurated as President for the term beginning January 20, 2033, then the market resolves to Yes.

Market
51%
−2 vs prior
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Awaiting Signal
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Awaiting Signal

Live market data is available. No verified LikelyIQ Signal is currently published for this market.

Synchronized 3m ago330.5 total volume23.7 24h volume0 community calls

Probability history

Market

Market Movement

Factual provider price and activity changes; no causal claim is implied.

Provider observation

Kalshi's latest observed probability moved 2 points lower from its prior recorded price; 24-hour volume is 24.

Source updated 21d ago

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Awaiting Signal

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