Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2030 be above 4.5%?
If the annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for calendar year 2030 is above 4.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Live market data is available. An independent LikelyIQ estimate will appear only after the analysis pipeline publishes one.
Probability history
Why it’s moving
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Kalshi's latest observed probability moved 45 points higher from its prior recorded price; 24-hour volume is 0.
Source updated 38d ago
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