Who will the next Pope be?
If Luis Antonio Tagle becomes the first person elected Pope before Jan 1, 2070, then the market resolves to Yes.
Live market data is available. No verified LikelyIQ Signal is currently published for this market.
Probability history
Market Movement
Factual provider price and activity changes; no causal claim is implied.
Kalshi's latest observed probability moved 3.95 points lower from its prior recorded price; 24-hour volume is 767.
Source updated 7d ago
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LikelyIQ Signal
Independent model output has not been reviewed and published for this live market.
Live market data is available. No verified LikelyIQ Signal is currently published for this market.
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