LIVE MARKET DATA · Kalshi · 1,426 markets
Back to Discover
Other kalshi live

Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?

If United States is the first country to launch a manned mission to the Moon before Jan 1, 2031, then the market resolves to Yes.

Market
56.95%
−1.15 vs prior
LikelyIQ
Awaiting Signal
Community
No forecasts yet
Be the first to predict
Awaiting Signal

Live market data is available. No verified LikelyIQ Signal is currently published for this market.

Synchronized 2m ago87,306.8 total volume18 24h volume0 community calls

Probability history

Market

Market Movement

Factual provider price and activity changes; no causal claim is implied.

Provider observation

Kalshi's latest observed probability moved 1.15 points lower from its prior recorded price; 24-hour volume is 18.

Source updated 205d ago

Ask LikelyIQ

Answers grounded in the reviewed market evidence

LikelyIQ provides informational analysis and probabilistic estimates. Outcomes are never guaranteed.

LikelyIQ Signal

Independent model output has not been reviewed and published for this live market.

Awaiting Signal

Live market data is available. No verified LikelyIQ Signal is currently published for this market.

View sources (1)Expand

Market data is attributed to kalshi; LikelyIQ analysis is labeled separately.