Politics kalshi live

Will Democratic Reform Party win the next Japanese general election?

If Democratic Reform Party wins the next Japanese general election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Market

4.5%

+0.5 vs prior

LikelyIQ

Awaiting Signal

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Awaiting Signal

Live market data is available. No verified LikelyIQ Signal is currently published for this market.

Synchronized 8m ago2,499 total volume833 24h volume0 community calls

Probability history

Market

Factual provider price and activity changes; no causal claim is implied.

Provider observation

Kalshi's latest observed probability moved 0.5 points higher from its prior recorded price; 24-hour volume is 833.

Source updated 3d ago

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Independent model output has not been reviewed and published for this live market.

Awaiting Signal

Live market data is available. No verified LikelyIQ Signal is currently published for this market.

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