Will it be reported by The Times of Israel that Naftali Bennett is the first Minister of Defense to take office in the first new Israeli government formed after the next Knesset election before Oct 28, 2030?
If it is reported by The Times of Israel after Issuance and before Oct 28, 2030 that Naftali Bennett is the first Minister of Defense to take office in the first new Israeli government formed after the next Knesset election, then the market resolves to Yes.
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Kalshi's latest observed probability moved 1.5 points higher from its prior recorded price; 24-hour volume is 0.
Source updated 21d ago
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