Will the Hodge Conjecture be resolved before 2029?
If Hodge Conjecture in its official Clay Mathematics Institute formulation is resolved before Jan 1, 2029 under the Payout Criterion and that resolution has not been retracted, withdrawn, repudiated, or rescinded prior to the Expiration time, then the market resolves to Yes.
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Probability history
Why it’s moving
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Kalshi's latest observed probability moved 84 points higher from its prior recorded price; 24-hour volume is 0.
Source updated 23h ago
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