Will Jackson Koivun win a golf major championship after June 22, 2026 and before 2030?
If Jackson Koivun wins a golf major championship (including The Masters, PGA Championship, U.S. Open, and The Open Championship) before 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
Live market data is available. An independent LikelyIQ estimate will appear only after the analysis pipeline publishes one.
Probability history
Why it’s moving
Verified inputs and LikelyIQ interpretation are labeled separately.
Kalshi's latest observed probability moved 45 points lower from its prior recorded price; 24-hour volume is 0.
Source updated 82d ago
Ask LikelyIQ
Answers grounded in the reviewed market evidence
LikelyIQ provides informational analysis and probabilistic estimates. Outcomes are never guaranteed.
LikelyIQ Signal
Independent model output has not been reviewed and published for this live market.
Live market data is available. An independent LikelyIQ estimate will appear only after the analysis pipeline publishes one.
View sources (1)Expand
Market data is attributed to kalshi; LikelyIQ analysis is labeled separately.