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Will FDP win the next election to the German Bundestag?
:: Free Democratic Party
Market
0.5%
−0.5 vs prior
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Awaiting Signal
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Live market data is available. No verified LikelyIQ Signal is currently published for this market.
Synchronized 4m ago11,791 total volume0 24h volume0 community calls
Probability history
Market
Market Movement
Factual provider price and activity changes; no causal claim is implied.
Provider observation
Kalshi's latest observed probability moved 0.5 points lower from its prior recorded price; 24-hour volume is 0.
Source updated 20d ago
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Will FDP win the next election to the German Bundestag?
Bundeswahlausschuss · 10/10/2026, 10:40:18 AM
Market data is attributed to kalshi; LikelyIQ analysis is labeled separately.