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Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2036 be above 3.25%?

If the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2036, as published on the Federal Reserve’s official website, is above 3.25%, then the market resolves to Yes.

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54.5%

−33.5 vs prior

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Synchronized 9m ago1,805.4 total volume334.2 24h volume0 community calls

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Kalshi's latest observed probability moved 33.5 points lower from its prior recorded price; 24-hour volume is 334.

Source updated 93d ago

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Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2036 be above 3.25%?

Federal Reserve Board of Governors · 7/29/2026, 6:00:01 PM

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