Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2029 be above 2.50%?
If the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2029, as published on the Federal Reserve’s official website, is above 2.50%, then the market resolves to Yes.
LikelyIQ analysis unavailable — market resolution terms require additional clarity.
Probability history
Market Movement
Factual provider price and activity changes; no causal claim is implied.
Kalshi's latest observed probability moved 9.5 points higher from its prior recorded price; 24-hour volume is 0.
Source updated 94d ago
LikelyIQ Signal
LikelyIQ analysis unavailable — market resolution terms require additional clarity.
LikelyIQ analysis unavailable — market resolution terms require additional clarity.
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