Will Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer be resolved before 2030?
If Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture in its official Clay Mathematics Institute formulation is resolved before Jan 1, 2030 under the Payout Criterion and that resolution has not been retracted, withdrawn, repudiated, or rescinded prior to the Expiration time, then the market resolves to Yes.
Live market data is available. No verified LikelyIQ Signal is currently published for this market.
Probability history
Market Movement
Factual provider price and activity changes; no causal claim is implied.
Kalshi's latest observed probability moved 54 points higher from its prior recorded price; 24-hour volume is 0.
Source updated 7d ago
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LikelyIQ Signal
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Live market data is available. No verified LikelyIQ Signal is currently published for this market.
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