LIVE MARKET DATA · Kalshi · 1,475 markets
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Best LLM at the end of the decade?

If Essential AI has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index at 10:00 AM ET on Dec 31, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Market
3.5%
−20.5 vs prior
LikelyIQ
Awaiting Signal
Community
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Awaiting Signal

Live market data is available. No verified LikelyIQ Signal is currently published for this market.

Synchronized 5m ago1,368 total volume0 24h volume0 community calls

Probability history

Market

Market Movement

Factual provider price and activity changes; no causal claim is implied.

Provider observation

Kalshi's latest observed probability moved 20.5 points lower from its prior recorded price; 24-hour volume is 0.

Source updated 23d ago

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LikelyIQ Signal

Independent model output has not been reviewed and published for this live market.

Awaiting Signal

Live market data is available. No verified LikelyIQ Signal is currently published for this market.

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Market data is attributed to kalshi; LikelyIQ analysis is labeled separately.