Compare Market, LikelyIQ, IQ Gap, movement, and community context at a glance.
Market Movement: Kalshi's latest observed probability moved 53 points higher from its prior recorded price; 24-hour volume is 0.
Market Movement: Kalshi's latest observed probability moved 77 points higher from its prior recorded price; 24-hour volume is 0.
Signal summary: FORECAST: Estimated probability 38%; confidence Low; resolution event "If the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U, U.S. city average, all items, not seasonally adjusted, in December 2029 is above 4.0%, then the market resolves to Yes."; cutoff 2030-02-01T04:59:00.000Z (UTC); event-time rule "The official report, reference period, and revision treatment specified in the bound Kalshi secondary rule."; rationale: According to E2, the 12‑month CPI‑U was 3.7% in September 2026, below the 4.0% threshold, suggesting sub‑4% conditions at that time.
Market Movement: Kalshi's latest observed probability moved 82 points higher from its prior recorded price; 24-hour volume is 0.
Market Movement: Kalshi's latest observed probability moved 74 points higher from its prior recorded price; 24-hour volume is 0.
Market Movement: Kalshi's latest observed probability moved 85 points higher from its prior recorded price; 24-hour volume is 0.
Market Movement: Kalshi's latest observed probability moved 19 points higher from its prior recorded price; 24-hour volume is 0.
Market Movement: Kalshi's latest observed probability moved 13 points higher from its prior recorded price; 24-hour volume is 0.
Market Movement: Kalshi's latest observed probability moved 93 points higher from its prior recorded price; 24-hour volume is 0.
